
Will "That Alien Message - The Animation" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
2
1kṀ2002026
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post That Alien Message - The Animation is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will "AIs Will Increasingly Attempt Shenanigans" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "OpenAI: Exodus" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "EIS XIII: Reflections on Anthropic’s SAE Rese..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "Awakening" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "What Goes Without Saying" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "Introducing AI Lab Watch" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
9% chance
Will "2023 in AI predictions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "The Dream Machine" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Contra papers claiming superhuman AI forecasting" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "An Extremely Opinionated Annotated List of My..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
38% chance