Will "Taiwan war timelines might be shorter than AI..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
2
1kṀ261
2028
12%
chance
3

As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.

This market will resolve to 100% if the post Taiwan war timelines might be shorter than AI timelines is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy