Will "SAE reconstruction errors are (empirically) p..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Plus
2
Ṁ2692026
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post SAE reconstruction errors are (empirically) pathological is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "Fact Finding: Attempting to Reverse-Engineer ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
53% chance
Will "Lessons On How To Get Things Right On The Fir..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
51% chance
Will "AI catastrophes and rogue deployments" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
41% chance
Will "SAE feature geometry is outside the superposi..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "Without fundamental advances, misalignment an..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
46% chance
Will "A rough and incomplete review of some of John..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "'Empiricism!' as Anti-Epistemology" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
80% chance
Will "EIS XIII: Reflections on Anthropic’s SAE Rese..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "The Base Rate Times, news through prediction ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
20% chance