Will "Paper: LLMs trained on “A is B” fail to learn..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Basic
1
Ṁ38Feb 1
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Paper: LLMs trained on “A is B” fail to learn “B is A” is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "Paper: LLMs trained on “A is B” fail to learn..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "The Learning-Theoretic Agenda: Status 2023" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
47% chance
Will "Lessons On How To Get Things Right On The Fir..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
55% chance
Will "Alignment Implications of LLM Successes: a De..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
57% chance
Will "Paper: On measuring situational awareness in LLMs" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "Alignment Faking in Large Language Models" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
78% chance
Will "Sleeper Agents: Training Deceptive LLMs that ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
28% chance
Will "LeCun’s “A Path Towards Autonomous Machine In..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "Connecting the Dots: LLMs can Infer & Verbali..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
18% chance