Will "Nonlinear’s Evidence: Debunking False and Mis..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Basic
5
Ṁ202Feb 1
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Nonlinear’s Evidence: Debunking False and Misleading Claims is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Things I Learned by Spending Five Thousand Ho..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
70% chance
Will "Against Almost Every Theory of Impact of Inte..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
59% chance
Will "Lessons On How To Get Things Right On The Fir..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
51% chance
Will "Fact Finding: Attempting to Reverse-Engineer ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
53% chance
Will "Evolution provides no evidence for the sharp ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
54% chance
Will "Most People Don't Realize We Have No Idea How..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
37% chance
Will "Things I Learned by Spending Five Thousand Ho..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
70% chance
Will "Assume Bad Faith" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
29% chance
Will "Truthseeking is the ground in which other pri..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
70% chance
Will "The ‘strong’ feature hypothesis could be wrong" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
55% chance