Will "Mathematicians are Feeling the Doom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
2
Ṁ1kṀ2.3k2028
12%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Mathematicians are Feeling the Doom is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "The Doomers Were Right" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Are We In A Coding Overhang?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Varieties Of Doom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "The Eldritch in the 21st century" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "How Well Does RL Scale?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "The Lethal Reality Hypothesis" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "That Mad Olympiad" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "AI Doomerism in 1879" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Agent foundations: not really math, not reall..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Google Can't Math Parsecs" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
10% chance