Will "I found >800 orthogonal "write code" steering..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
1
1kṀ502026
13%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post I found >800 orthogonal "write code" steering vectors is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "Using axis lines for good or evil" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
4% chance
Will "o1: A Technical Primer" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Response to nostalgebraist: proudly waving my..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "How to replicate and extend our alignment fak..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Takes on "Alignment Faking in Large Language ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "An Extremely Opinionated Annotated List of My..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
38% chance
Will "Notice When People Are Directionally Correct" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "Lsusr's Rationality Dojo" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "Toward A Mathematical Framework for Computati..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
46% chance
Will "Two easy things that maybe Just Work to impro..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance