Will "How middle powers may prevent the development..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
1
Ṁ1kṀ382027
14%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post How middle powers may prevent the development of artificial superintelligence is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "Some articles in “International Security” tha..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
26% chance
Will "The News is Never Neglected" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Gradual Disempowerment: Concrete Research Pro..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
7% chance
Will "Power Lies Trembling: a three-book review" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
23% chance
Will "The Intelligence Curse" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "New Report: An International Agreement to Pre..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Gradual Disempowerment, Shell Games and Flinches" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
7% chance
Will "The Eldritch in the 21st century" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "A History of the Future, 2025-2040" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance