Will "GPT can write Quines now (GPT-4)" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
2
140Ṁ107resolved Feb 11
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post GPT can write Quines now (GPT-4) is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ10 | |
2 | Ṁ1 |
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Anthropic release Claude 3, claims >GPT-4 Per..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
5% chance
Will "You can remove GPT2’s LayerNorm by fine-tunin..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Getting 50% (SoTA) on ARC-AGI with GPT-4o" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "ChatGPT can learn indirect control" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "BIG-Bench Canary Contamination in GPT-4" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "o1: A Technical Primer" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "OthelloGPT learned a bag of heuristics" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "What Goes Without Saying" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "Ironing Out the Squiggles" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Priors and Prejudice" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
19% chance