Will "Constellations are Younger than Continents" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Basic
6
Ṁ80Feb 1
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Constellations are Younger than Continents is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "Things I Learned by Spending Five Thousand Ho..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
71% chance
Will "Cohabitive Games so Far" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
55% chance
Will "Things I Learned by Spending Five Thousand Ho..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
70% chance
Will "Childhoods of exceptional people" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
62% chance
Will "Social Dark Matter" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
67% chance
Will "Model Organisms of Misalignment: The Case for..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
86% chance
Will "There are no coherence theorems" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "The Dial of Progress" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "Book Review: Going Infinite" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "Elements of Rationalist Discourse" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
19% chance