Will "Anomalous tokens reveal the original identiti..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Basic
1
Ṁ1Feb 1
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Anomalous tokens reveal the original identities of Instruct models is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Things I Learned by Spending Five Thousand Ho..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
71% chance
Will "Social Dark Matter" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
67% chance
Will "Things I Learned by Spending Five Thousand Ho..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
70% chance
Will "Childhoods of exceptional people" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
62% chance
Will "Self-Other Overlap: A Neglected Approach to A..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
42% chance
Will "Acausal normalcy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
35% chance
Will "Most People Don't Realize We Have No Idea How..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
37% chance
Will "Towards Developmental Interpretability" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
69% chance
Will "Mapping the semantic void: Strange goings-on ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "An Extremely Opinionated Annotated List of My..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
38% chance