Will "AGI and the EMH: markets are not expecting al..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
2
140Ṁ20resolved Feb 11
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post AGI and the EMH: markets are not expecting aligned or unaligned AI in the next 30 years is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ2 |
Related questions
Related questions
Will "2023 in AI predictions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "My AGI safety research—2024 review, ’25 plans" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "My simple AGI investment & insurance strategy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "AGI Safety and Alignment at Google DeepMind:
..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
26% chance
Will "EIS XIII: Reflections on Anthropic’s SAE Rese..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "Orienting to 3 year AGI timelines" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
49% chance
Will "Contra papers claiming superhuman AI forecasting" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "A breakdown of AI capability levels focused o..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "The Hopium Wars: the AGI Entente Delusion" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "The Field of AI Alignment: A Postmortem, and ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
28% chance