Will "A report about LessWrong karma volatility fro..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Basic
5
Ṁ187Feb 1
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post A report about LessWrong karma volatility from a different universe is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Things I Learned by Spending Five Thousand Ho..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
70% chance
Will "Lessons On How To Get Things Right On The Fir..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
51% chance
Will "Things I Learned by Spending Five Thousand Ho..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
70% chance
Will "Social Dark Matter" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
67% chance
Will "Failures in Kindness" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
44% chance
Will "An Extremely Opinionated Annotated List of My..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
38% chance
Will "Attitudes about Applied Rationality" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
43% chance
Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "The Base Rate Times, news through prediction ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
20% chance
Will "Reproducing ARC Evals' recent report on langu..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
10% chance