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MANIFOLD
Will Messi win the Golden Boot?
9
Ṁ100Ṁ235
Jul 19
13%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if Lionel Messi is officially awarded the Golden Boot (adidas Golden Boot) for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

This market will resolve to NO if any other player is officially awarded the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot.

If multiple players finish tied on goals, the award will be decided by FIFA's official tiebreakers (first assists, then fewest minutes played). The market will resolve based on the player who is officially designated the winner of the award by FIFA.

The primary source of truth will be the official tournament awards announcements on FIFA.com.

Background

As of July 18, 2026, Lionel Messi (Argentina) and Kylian Mbappé (France) are tied at the top of the 2026 World Cup goalscoring charts with 8 goals each. Messi currently holds the advantage under FIFA's tiebreaker rules, having recorded 4 assists to Mbappé's 3.

The remaining matches of the tournament are:

  • Third-place play-off (July 18): France vs. England

  • World Cup Final (July 19): Argentina vs. Spain

Other trailing players still in the tournament include England's Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham, who both have 6 goals.

Market context
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