🏅 Top traders

42 views. I was probably 3.

@KevinBlaw You watched the whole video three times?

@4fa for heaven's sake, I watched the whole video ZERO times. I wasn't sure how long the video would play before it counted as a watch. To be more precise, I clicked the link a few times to see the progress.

@KevinBlaw Lol. Yeah, pretty sure YT doesn't count THAT as views. You probably need to watch around 50% for one view…

@4fa that's too bad. Should have watched it. I talk about why I value resonance over reach, which is why I intentionally placed weed in the video.

Here's what it covered, based on a transcript analysis from ChatGPT:
Here’s a structured summary of the main goals and themes of the video you shared:

🧠 Core Theme: Understanding and Measuring Delusion

The speaker explores the concept of delusion—particularly their own—as a central idea. They frame delusion not purely as error but as an essential, measurable aspect of creative and entrepreneurial work. The goal is to identify where one’s thinking diverges from reality and to quantify that divergence through experimentation and prediction markets.

💡 Reframing Value and Money

• The creator challenges the “time is money” paradigm, arguing that value in the internet era flows differently—through networks, attention, and measurable engagement.

• They admit to struggling with making money despite deep knowledge, framing this as part of a larger issue: not knowing how to value their own skills or time properly.

• The new objective is to connect learning, creation, and measurable financial value—without defaulting to conventional monetization (like ads).

📈 Redefining Metrics for the Creator Economy

• The speaker proposes replacing the standard YouTube metric CPM (Cost Per Mille) with a new concept: Market Action Index (MAI).

• MAI would track:

  • Number of markets or prediction questions spawned

  • Unique participants

  • Returning participants over time

• This aims to measure trust, engagement, and resonance rather than superficial reach or ad views.

🔬 Prediction Markets and Collaborative Experimentation

• The creator is partnering with Manifold, a prediction market platform, to run aligned research.

• The channel will focus on prediction markets as both a subject and a tool:

  • First video series: What prediction markets are and why they’re valuable.

  • Planned interview with economist Robin Hanson (a key figure in the field).

  • Follow-up “review module” with audience participation and learning assessment.

• The ultimate goal is to map uncertainty—to turn delusion into data and insight.

🧩 Personal and Philosophical Growth

• The speaker admits past mistakes: avoiding money, conflating personal stability with experimentation, and fearing success.

• They reference Cory Wilkes’ ideas on fear, noting that overcoming fear is key to asking for value and claiming one’s worth.

• They describe entering a “death of the master” phase—a return to beginner’s mindset to rebuild on honest, measurable foundations.

🤝 Community and Resonance Over Reach

• The project values depth of connection over broad visibility.

• The creator emphasizes building a small, high-trust community (like those found on Manifold) rather than chasing viral growth.

• Their mantra: resonance > reach — focusing on authentic engagement instead of algorithms.

🌱 Next Steps and Experiments

1. Develop and test the Market Action Index.

2. Launch the prediction market video series.

3. Secure Manifold sponsorship through demonstrable data-driven value.

4. Continue exploring “mimetic economics”—the idea that human value derives from being seen.

🎬 Tone and Conclusion

The video blends humor, self-awareness, and entrepreneurial philosophy. The “most delusional trade of 2025” nomination becomes a metaphor for embracing uncertainty, measuring one’s delusion, and turning personal chaos into a structured, collaborative experiment in value creation.

That's why I predicted big, and then bet small and limited reach. I'm talking about really important shit here and I don't want anyone here because it's cool. I want people ready to put in the work. And if you do, you'll learn some really cool shit about what I've been working on for the last five years. Because I don't care about your background or what you know. I care about what you are curious about and what you are learning. Because that's where true growth happens. So I hope you'll watch the next one. I found a cool partner to help me grow the channel and I look forward to the world seeing my research now that I have a production team ready to go.

If you have any research that you want out there, I'm starting to book more researchers to analyze and launch: https://blog.ideanexusventures.com/product-2-human-launch-service/

@LeoGuinanEqPl @KevinBlaw - you should watch what I'm doing. You just showed me that you were the most valuable person my video connected me to. And you didn't have to even watch it. That's called Time Compression, and is something we'll get to. You can help me decide when. ;)

@LeoGuinanEqPl even the TLDR needs a TLDR

@KevinBlaw tldr stay close and learn a ton. And remember that everything means something.

Below 100 seems like a lock.

If it possible for a video to have negative views, this video will prove it.

@KevinBlaw oh, now THAT would be interesting.

@LeoGuinanEqPl I am afraid to click on the link lest I ruin my own position.

@KevinBlaw Didn't I lose enough to you with my first question to cover it? I'm coming in bad, but you might lose the occasional bit to sate your curiosity. No idea if I'm delusional, but I'm interesting. That's what I'm betting on. ;)

@LeoGuinanEqPl I think by “sate” you mean “slake”. Please confirm.

@KevinBlaw my curiosity is an appetite. I meant sate. It's interesting that yours is a thirst. Interesting is fun!

@LeoGuinanEqPl that is mildly interesting. My curiosity though is satiated.