46% chance. Resolution criteria: A tweet is posted on https://twitter.com/Arsenal with Declan Rice’s name or photo indicating that he is now an Arsenal player (example: https://twitter.com/Arsenal/status/1674130712054882304). Trading will stop at 11 pm BST.

Will Arsenal officially announce Declan Rice before by July 11th 11:59pm BST?

https://manifold.markets/FernandoIrarrazaval/will-arsenal-officially-announce-de

there are rumors that he wants to go to Arsenal and that Arsenal want him.

he will be a good replacement for Arsenal after Xhaka leaves.

he is also wanted by man city and Bayern. 

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