soccer: will arsenal make it out of the UEFA champions league group stages 23/24
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resolved Dec 1
Resolved
YES

yes if they make it to the knockout stages

no if they get knocked out in the group stages

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bought Ṁ25 of YES

Arsenal is a good form, they have won six games and drawn two so far in the premier league. coming from a very good season the previous season where they almost won the league. The team in playing well together and they have conceded only six goals so far. this goes to show how compact their defense is. the teams forward are also performing banging in 16 goals making the total goals drawn 10.

@ErnestOwusu Historical data to comment on Arsenal's performance last year is valuable to justify betting YES and adding how the defensive style of play can contribute to passing the group stage (Owusu, 2023). Nevertheless, we could also include the historical data that Arsenal has passed the Champions League group stage 15 times (UEFA.com, 2023a). Later, using historical data, comparing the number of times the other teams passed the group stage would be a good comparison for the market conditions and odds of Arsenal passing compared to the other teams.

It would be interesting to comment on the current market conditions regarding Arsenal's injured players and the other teams in the group stage (Transfermarkt, 2023).

Commenting on the Manifold ODDS would be interesting (Clark, 2023). When betting YES for Arsenal passing the group stage, the payout could be +17%; when betting NO, it could be +537.5%. Another statistical analysis worth doing is from the betting websites and it's ODDS to see what the market expects and use it in favor of the Manifold bet.

We would make the same bet, considering that Arsenal has reasonable ODDS to pass the group stage due to its historical data and market conditions; also, the bet itself can be profitable with lower risk (UEFA.com, 2023a).

Team 10:

Paul Hawes, Wagner Lessa, Sebastian Prieto, Ganga Singh, Eduardo Soto, Juan Soto.

@WagnerLessa Team 10:

Paul Hawes, Wagner Lessa, Sebastian Prieto, Ganga Singh, Eduardo Soto, Juan Soto.