There's an attempt to get this on the ballot for 2024. This market resolves YES if:

• Prominent Alaska Republicans support it

• It actually gets on the ballot

Otherwise it resolves NO at the expiration date, or if it becomes clear earlier that it won't happen (ie not enough signatures are gathered and the deadline to get in the ballot passes)

Court cases / injunctions, and the actual outcome of the election should the measure get on the ballot, are irrelevant for this market's purposes