If Twitter makes only verified accounts show up on users's "For You" feed, how will Twitter's DAU change in 3 months?
4
301
αΉ68αΉ330
Jan 1
-25
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1640502698549075972
Conditional on Twitter changing to make only verified accounts show up on user's "For You" feed, how will their daily active user count change within 3 months (in percent).
Example: The value you vote for should be interpreted as "+X%." E.g, if their daily active user count doubles, then you should vote "100." If it falls by half, you should vote "-50." If it goes to 0, you should vote "-100."
It's not necessarily clear that Elon will actually do this on April 15th, so this market's resolution date for now is the end of 2023. If Twitter goes through with the change, I will update the resolution date to 3 months thereafter.
If they never make the change, then this market resolves N/A.
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