Contingent on any interest rate announcements during Sept 2024, will the 1-month change in the S&P 500 index exceed 5%?
1
Ṁ1000
Oct 1
20%
chance

Will resolve N/A if the U.S. Federal Reserve does not reduce interest rates during the month of September.

If at any point during September the U.S. Federal Reserve announces a reduction in interest rates, even if the reduction does not occur in September, this market will measure performance of S&P 500 index in accordance with reported opening benchmark beginning the first trading day of September, September 3, 2024, and closing benchmark at conclusion of trading on September 30, 2024.

This market does NOT round up. To resolve YES, the change in the index must be 5.0% or higher. Resolves NO otherwise.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:

The Federal Reserve’s statement yesterday included a 0.50 percent rate cut, therefore this market will not resolve N/A.

https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20240918a.htm

After the market jump today (9/19), which closed at 5714.64, the change from 9/3’s open (5623.89) to now stands at +1.61%. There are seven trading days left in September for the market to push for the 5% jump.

To achieve a minimum 5% increase to resolve YES, the S&P 500 Index must close at 5905.09 on 9/30/2024.