This is aiming to predict how many unique users will make any wager on the below prediction.

https://manifold.markets/Krantz/krantz-mechanism-demonstration

The purpose of Krantz is to provide an outlet for users to direct attention to certain propositions by allowing them to define and share their confidence (and ideally importance) on various propositions.

The market is intended to be a demonstration of the potential X could have to disseminate information across the public domain at scale.

If individuals were incentivized to rate their confidence and importance of various unique propositions on a feed similar to X, then the data collected would be tremendously valuable for aligning the attention mechanism that controls which proposition should be evaluated next. If you know where everyone stands on every issue, it incredibly easy to calculate what they should think about next.

I strongly believe it is a good investment of tax dollars to reward individuals for doing this work (identifying your beliefs in a way that can be interpretably operated on).

I believe that this is the only essential intellectual task and will eventually replace every intellectual job.

The purpose of this market is to incentivize traffic and motivate Manifold users to share their positions on propositions they care about. To do that, please visit Krantz and express your confidence by placing a wager (99 mana max) to indicate your degree of confidence that a given proposition should be accepted or denied.

The overall goal of the market is not to make money. It's to create value. Your opinion is valuable.

The goal is to provide a mechanism to communicate by allowing each other to query what we believe and why. That data is tremendously valuable. Please consider helping me explain this to economists that have an understanding of the developments in both AI and crypto.

Thanks