Will there have been a new president who isn't a Protestant or non denominational Christian by Inauguration Day 2045?
8
38
Ṁ277Ṁ150
2045
69%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
New president means Biden will not resolve to YES, even if he has a non consecutive second term. I go by the presidents own stated beliefs while in office. If, for example, a president was a closet atheist but publicly a Protestant, resolve to YES if they "came out" while in office but not if they came out after leaving office. If the situation is truly unclear, I will spend 5 hours determining consensus from experts as to the President's religious belief, and go with said consensus, resolving to ambiguous only if consensus is unclear by 2045.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040?
46% chance
On the day before the 2029 inauguration, who will be the President of the United States?
What kind of presidents will we have by 2040?
From today to after the presidential inauguration in 2041, will the US have at least one president who is ___?
Will the US have a female or gender non-conforming president by 2033?
39% chance
What Religion will the next President of the US be?
Will there be another non-white President of the United States before the end of 2032?
33% chance
Will there be a female president of the US by the year 2040?
53% chance
What will be true about at least one US president elected before 2050?
Will a person who is not Joe Biden or Donald Trump become the de facto president of the United States before 2028?
39% chance