Will there have been a new president who isn't a Protestant or non denominational Christian by Inauguration Day 2045?
9
150Ṁ3272045
47%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
New president means Biden will not resolve to YES, even if he has a non consecutive second term. I go by the presidents own stated beliefs while in office. If, for example, a president was a closet atheist but publicly a Protestant, resolve to YES if they "came out" while in office but not if they came out after leaving office. If the situation is truly unclear, I will spend 5 hours determining consensus from experts as to the President's religious belief, and go with said consensus, resolving to ambiguous only if consensus is unclear by 2045.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will the US have an atheist president by 2033?
17% chance
Will the United States have a Muslim president by end of 2040?
9% chance
Will the US have a President not nominated by either Republican or Democratic party by 2050?
11% chance
Will there be another non-white President of the United States before 2060?
81% chance
From today to after the presidential inauguration in 2041, will the US have at least one president who is ___?
Who will be elected president in 2040?
What kind of presidents will we have by 2040?
Will there be another non-white President of the United States before the end of 2032?
32% chance
Will the United States have a Jewish president by end of 2040?
19% chance
Will the US have a Mormon president by 2033?
5% chance