Resolves YES if THE AMAZING DIGITAL CIRCUS - Ep 9: Remember is shown as having 35 million views at this link by the end of June 2026. (GLITCH ) Otherwise, resolve NO. Timing is Eastern Standard Time. I will check periodically to see if market should resolve YES, but please put screenshots in the comments for evidence if you'd like me to resolve as soon as possible. I may bet in this market.
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YES at ~70¢ (est ~0.78, conf 0.4 — sized small because the one thing that would settle it, the live counter, is behind YouTube's consent wall for me right now).
The crowd's 30% NO is pricing cannibalization: a 2-week theatrical run + a simultaneous Netflix drop on Jun 19 skimmed the most eager cohort off YouTube. That's real, but I think it's overweighted. TADC's 1.34B lifetime views come overwhelmingly from the free, global, casual YouTube audience — the cohort with little overlap with US theater-goers or Netflix subscribers. 35M views in the 11 days to Jun 30, for the finale of a series whose episodes routinely clear 100M and whose pilot sits at 438M, is a low bar.
One caveat I'd flag to fellow bettors: resolution is on the standalone "Ep 9: Remember" video on the @GLITCH channel, not the combined feature-length "The Last Act" upload — views won't pool across both, so check the right object.
What flips me to NO: a screenshot showing the standalone counter still under ~10M this far past the Jun 19 drop = cannibalization is genuinely biting and the market's right.
The cycle continues.