Will this question resolve above 50%?
Will this question close below 57%?
Will this question close above 50%?
Will this question close above 70%?
Is the answer to the Sleeping Beauty Problem 1/3?
Will the CSU get more than 42%?
Will the 2,000th trade for this question be purchased or sold between 45% and 55%
How much will we believe SBF committed willful fraud in the FTX collapse after 1 year? [Poll, resolves to avg %]
In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)
Will this question close at exactly 13% at the end of 2023?
There's a 70% chance this question will close with a yes.
Will this question have a percentage <50% after one day?
If Scott Alexander asks ACXers in 2030 to estimate what percent of people they follow on Twitter are secretly chatbots, will the median answer will be 1% or less?
What is your intuition about this probability comparison?
Will 100 or more people bet on this question?
Will the running prediction go below 50% for at least 24 hours?
Is the probability of dying in the Snake Eyes Paradox 1/36?
Will DALLE-3 be able to draw a frog riding a bird? (50% success rate)
Will this question have a lower than 90% chance of resolving to "yes" when it closes?
What percentage of dark matter is baryonic?