Ukrainian Armed Forces control 1263 square kilometers in the Kursk region,
— commander-in-chief Syrskyi.
If the russia's territory controlled by Ukraine increases by 10%, the market resolves Yes.
If decreases by 10%, the market resolves No.
Otherwise the market gets extended until one of those happens.
If the war has ended sooner, then resolves to 50%.
Independent journalists and ukraine officials count, russia's statements will be ignored in this market.
For Yes resolution: >=1390 km^2
For No resolution: <=1136 km^2
Russian counteroffensive in Kursk has begun. Unclear how successful they're being.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-september-11-2024
Ukrainian forces advance 2 kilometers into Kursk Oblast