Will Fernando Alonso finish on the podium at the 2023 Formula 1 Canadian Grand Prix?
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resolved Jun 18
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YES

A podium finish is any place in the top 3 positions. The race will take place on June 18, 2023.

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bought Ṁ40 of YES

Terrible for Russell.

bought Ṁ10 of NO

Strategy maybe a factor if Mercedes isn't dominant in race pace (which it looks like they might based on Spain) and given that it's Rosie Wait vs Peter Hall, I am betting Mercedes will have the better strategy with the uncertainties of the race.

https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/article.what-the-teams-said-qualifying-in-canada-2023.1BpwdftBubNujHyHo5SOYm.html

https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/article.hamilton-eyes-good-battle-with-alonso-as-mercedes-drivers-target-another.AAP6zz5PFCbXeBBHDHrmx.html

Additiionally, based on what Mercedes and Hamilton said regarding their chances, the results in Spain, and the good weather tomorrow I'm increasing my NO bet as I think 66% is still too high. I am betting Alonso will try to fight with Max in the first few laps, but get overtaken before the Mercedes second pit stop if Alonso is competitive (I am assuming Mercedes and Aston Martin will both do a two stopper).

Krack (Aston Martin):

"...we have a competitive car so there is everything to play for as we target scoring solid points with both cars tomorrow.”

Wolff (Mercedes):

"Realistically, we will be aiming for the podium with both cars tomorrow."

Based on the Barcelona race, I think Mercedes is catching up and either Sainz or Russel will able to hold off Alonso.

bought Ṁ20 of NO

@parhizj I am betting cautiously no