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Terrible for Russell.

Strategy maybe a factor if Mercedes isn't dominant in race pace (which it looks like they might based on Spain) and given that it's Rosie Wait vs Peter Hall, I am betting Mercedes will have the better strategy with the uncertainties of the race.

https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/article.what-the-teams-said-qualifying-in-canada-2023.1BpwdftBubNujHyHo5SOYm.html

https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/article.hamilton-eyes-good-battle-with-alonso-as-mercedes-drivers-target-another.AAP6zz5PFCbXeBBHDHrmx.html

Additiionally, based on what Mercedes and Hamilton said regarding their chances, the results in Spain, and the good weather tomorrow I'm increasing my NO bet as I think 66% is still too high. I am betting Alonso will try to fight with Max in the first few laps, but get overtaken before the Mercedes second pit stop if Alonso is competitive (I am assuming Mercedes and Aston Martin will both do a two stopper).

Krack (Aston Martin):

"...we have a competitive car so there is everything to play for as we target scoring solid points with both cars tomorrow.”

Wolff (Mercedes):

"Realistically, we will be aiming for the podium with both cars tomorrow."

What the teams said – Qualifying at the Canadian Grand Prix 2023 | Formula 1®

The drivers and teams report back on all the action from final practice and qualifying for the Formula 1 Canadian Grand Prix 2023…

Based on the Barcelona race, I think Mercedes is catching up and either Sainz or Russel will able to hold off Alonso.

@parhizj I am betting cautiously no