Will resolve based on the results of the General Election in the Pennsylvania Senate race, November 5, 2024. In the event the race is close, it will be based on the official certification rather than news reports, and may therefore not resolve immediately. A concession by either candidate may resolve it sooner.

Bob Casey recently underwent treatment for prostate cancer, and appears well. If he does not run, this market will resolve N/A. Same if David McCormick ends up dropping out and is replaced by another candidate, such as cardiologist and famous Pennsylvanian, Dr. Mehmet Oz.