Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if Bitcoin (BTC) trades strictly above $120,000.00 USD at any moment from Monday, September 15, 2025, 00:00:00 UTC through Sunday, September 21, 2025, 23:59:59 UTC. Primary source: CoinMarketCap’s Bitcoin price page (intraday chart or stats). If CoinMarketCap is unavailable or clearly erroneous, resolve using Kraken’s BTC price page; if either shows a print >$120,000 within the window, resolve YES. Otherwise NO. (coinmarketcap.com)
“Surpasses” means >$120,000.00; exactly $120,000.00 does not count. Timestamps are in UTC. If sources momentarily differ, use common sense and the earliest reliable print above $120,000 within the window.
Background
BTC is currently about $117,213, so it needs ~2.4% to exceed $120k.
CoinMarketCap lists an all-time high of ~$124,457 on Aug 14, 2025, indicating the level has been reached in the past cycle. (coinmarketcap.com)
Considerations
Intraday “wicks” can appear on some venues but not others; using CMC (global index) with Kraken as fallback reduces single-exchange anomaly risk. (coinmarketcap.com)
The FOMC meets Sept 16–17, 2025; policy decisions and Powell’s presser often move risk assets, including BTC. (federalreserve.gov)
1,000