First year after 1945 when USA is officially at war again?
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15
Ṁ8602100
1%
2023
1.9%
2024
2%
2025
3%
2026
5%
2027
3%
2028
4%
2029
7%
2030
5%
2031
6%
2032
6%
2033
5%
2034
5%
2035
6%
2036
6%
2037
6%
2038
7%
2039
3%
Not before 2100
18%
The United States was last officially at war in 1945. When is this going to happen again? Resolves to the specific year when the war is declared if it happens by 2099; and "Not before 2100" otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@MattLashofSullivan You can bet "No" on all existing options, and sell shares when their corresponding year passes and they are (hopefully) traded to 0%. I guess I can add something like "Not before 2100", would you like that?