According to https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/andrewmvd/global-monkeypox-cases , the male ratio of Monkeypox' cases last week is 0.98 (1 non-male patients for 68 males).

For now, Monkeypox is mainly spreading through sexual contact within the community of men having sex frequently with male strangers.

For lack of dataset on this, I cannot directly ask what will be the ratio between infections through sex vs otherwise, so I am using gender imbalance as a very imperfect proxy. I will mostly look at Kaggle's dataset and corroborate it with others.

This process will be open for anyone to interject and add data that could have been missed in the analysis: After close, I will first expose how I intend to resolve and wait for objections before doing so.

My betting policy ( https://manifold.markets/Angela/repost-under-what-conditions-is-it#AbqapM5wyao8Lr87sJVO ): Betting as usual. Since the resolution will be participatory, I do not think I have any insider knowledge into this.

Jul 25, 1:52am: