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This can resolve YES

https://manifold.markets/MarkLindsay/who-will-be-named-nfl-mvp-for-the-2?r=TWFya0xpbmRzYXk

They have participated in 6 games, coming out victorious in just 1 of them, resulting in a 1 out of 6 win rate. To assess the likelihood of them winning at least 5 out of 11 remaining games we need to get the probabilities for various scenarios: winning 5/11, 6/11, 7/11, 8/11, 9/11, 10/11, or all 11 out of 11 games. After performing these calculations and summing the probabilities, we arrive at an overall probability of 74.80%. This is a high probability suggesting that there are favorable chances that the Broncos will achieve 5 or more wins out of the remaining 11 games.

@CarlaForte Would love to see your detailed working 😉

@JoshuaWilkes Or perhaps you should just buy YES up to 74!

@CarlaForte Games are not 50/50 btw,

You got

50% + 462/2048 = 72.55%

They need to win 5 of remaining 11 games to win “more than 5 games”

@KevinBurke doesn't look like a 5-6 team does it 😃