Resolution Criteria

This market resolves based on three independent events occurring on February 8, 2026:

Super Bowl LX Winner: The New England Patriots will appear in their 12th Super Bowl when they face the Seattle Seahawks in Super Bowl LX at Levi's Stadium on February 8, 2026. Resolution determined by the final score as reported on ESPN's Super Bowl LX page.

Japanese Election - Takaichi Majority: General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on 8 February 2026 to elect all 465 seats of the House of Representatives. "Takaichi Majority" resolves YES if the LDP wins at least 233 seats (the majority threshold in the 465-seat chamber). Resolution determined by official results from Japan's House of Representatives.

Artemis II Launch: Launch is scheduled for no earlier than February 8, 2026. Resolves YES if the mission launches on February 8, 2026; NO if it launches after that date or is cancelled. Resolution determined by NASA's official launch confirmation at NASA's Artemis II page.

Background

Drake Maye will be the second-youngest quarterback to ever start in the Super Bowl, while Sam Darnold will be the first signal-caller from the loaded 2018 class to appear in the NFL title game. The Patriots and Seahawks met previously in Super Bowl XLIX, a 28-24 New England win.

Takaichi was elected as the LDP's first woman president in the LDP leadership election on 5 October. Prime Minister Takaichi has set a goal of winning a majority with the coalition, stating that she plans to resign immediately if this is not achieved.

The 10-day mission will carry NASA astronauts Reid Wiseman, Victor Glover, and Christina Koch, along with Canadian Space Agency astronaut Jeremy Hansen, on a free-return trajectory around the Moon and back to Earth. As of January 30, 2026, Artemis II will launch no earlier than February 8, with a dress rehearsal of the countdown planned for February 2.

Considerations

Each outcome in this market depends on a specific combination of three independent events. Only one answer can resolve YES—the specific combination that actually occurs. The market resolves N/A if any of the three events does not occur as specified (e.g., if the Super Bowl is postponed or the Japanese election is delayed).

This description was generated by AI.