Will the wholesale price of a dozen eggs reach $5 in the second half of 2025?
4
200Ṁ115
Dec 31
26%
chance

The wholesale price of a dozen eggs in the US peaked around $8 in March 2025 before sharply declining. Will it return to $5 or higher before the end of the year?

Price based on https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/eggs-us

Resolves YES if the above URL accessed at any point between July 1 2025 and Dec 31 2025 shows a value of 5.00 or higher for the current price and/or any historical date between July 1 2025 and Dec 31 2025.

Resolves NO if the maximum price in that timeframe remains below 5.00.

Edge cases:

  • If the website becomes inaccessible for some reason, but it was never observed as showing a price >=5.00 while it was accessible, resolves NO

  • If the website changes the URL for the "Eggs US" page but the data is available and clearly represents the same data on a different URL, resolves based on the data on that new URL

  • If the website changes such that the "Eggs US" data is no longer accessible in the same way, resolves NO

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