Resolves YES according to Wikipedia, and the NYT count as well

NBC

@Noah1 I prefer wikipedia and NBC to NYT from now on

@Noah1 I believe! We can end this night with a triumphant dropping-out speech!

wikipedia has it at 84... sweat

In the latest update his votes went... down?

Rigged?

betrayal

@Joshua "No, no, I said 'As a Hutchinson, I'm voting for Donald Trump', as did my 70 children"

it would be more convenient if the vote order was completely homogenous, it would make inference simpler

@TheBayesian Ya they should divide it up into even piles, and then count it live

@Tumbles wait is that a bit or is that real

@TheBayesian I typo-d at first and left out "should" lol

@Tumbles ohh hahaha yes definitely our society doesn't make it any easier for prediction markets

This is legit going to be close lol.

He probably gets in the 120s

@AaronBailey I have changed teams. Asa is the worst possible outcome for our country! He must be stopped at any cost!

@AaronBailey lol if I sell it goes to 0.0%

28 now!

@Joshua any idea how many votes there'll be? 63 votes now I think (out of around 41k votes)

@TheBayesian Wikipedia says 78 now

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Iowa_Republican_presidential_caucuses has him at 11 - more than double the last count! If he keeps doubling, he should be in the lead within the hour.

@NcyRocks if he keeps doubling, he will turn the entire earth into paperclips within 24 hours

Also he's 3 votes ahead of Chris Christie, who dropped out last week.

Hutchinson > Trump > Haley > Desantis

@Joshua Gilmore dropped out before the caucus too...