Prop Bets on Nikki Haley South Carolina Primary Concession Speech on Saturday Night
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Plus
45
Ṁ36k
resolved Feb 25
Resolved
YES
Haley says 'thank you'
Resolved
YES
Haley vows to stay in the race
Resolved
YES
Haley mentions Trump by name
Resolved
YES
Haley says Super Tuesday
Resolved
YES
Haley compliments the people of SC (broad, not a specific/named person)
Resolved
NO
Haley talks about when she was governor of SC.
Resolved
NO
Haley says "Tim" or "Scott"
Resolved
NO
Haley announces a vice presidential running mate
Resolved
NO
Haley references polling saying she would win against Biden
Resolved
NO
Haley says "Putin"
Resolved
NO
Haley says 'mark my words'
Resolved
NO
Haley mentions Barack Obama, Nancy Pelosi, or Kamala Harris
Resolved
NO
Haley does not give a speech Saturday night
Resolved
NO
Haley drops out of the race
Resolved
NO
Haley says "DeSantis"
Resolved
NO
Haley reminds everyone the votes aren't all counted yet
Resolved
NO
Haley hits the griddy

The South Carolina GOP Primary is on Saturday, polls close at 7 ET.

This market resolves based on the speech Nikki Haley gives after the South Carolina GOP Primary on Saturday night. I'm assuming it's a concession speech, but if she wins then her victory speech counts.

Feel free to add in bets of your own, but please nothing too hard to keep track of like the specific number of times she says a word or anything too subjective like "frames the outcome as actually a win." I reserve the right to edit answers for clarity or N/A answers for any reason.

You can find more markets on the primary on the South Carolina Dashboard.

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Haley says "Tim" or "Scott"

no shout outs to any Tims or Scotts afaict?

bought Ṁ1,000 Haley reminds everyo... NO

@shankypanky Yup none I can find. I think I can start resolving now.

Haley references polling saying she would win against Biden
bought Ṁ50 Haley references pol... NO

She referenced that Trump would lose, but never that she would win.

@mint Agreed

bought Ṁ30 Haley says "Putin" NO

watching Haley's speech just to pick up the free M

Xmoons GIF

bought Ṁ10 Haley compliments th... NO

Where was the compliment to the people of SC?

@kurt a couple of times early on

@shankypanky something like 'the great people of South Carolina'

She called them a "rowdy bunch" and some "thank you"s.. not sure that is a compliment?

@kurt later than that I'll try to get a link to that moment

@shankypanky "Y'all are a rowdy bunch but I love that about you" seems like a compliment to me, although she was talking to the crowd? I'd still call that broad as opposed to a specific person though. Oh and then she says "the good people of south carolina" shortly after. Resolves yes.

@Joshua yeah I would have counted the rowdy bunch comment because she's in SC and was referring to the people in the crowd. but later it was less of a grey area because "the good/great people of South Carolina" is pretty direct.

Haley talks about when she was governor of SC.

wait she mentioned when she was running for Gov does it count?

bought Ṁ175 Haley says "Putin" NO

Hmmm lemme rewatch

bought Ṁ500 Haley references pol... NO

@Joshua trying to grab a time stamp

@Joshua annoyingly I can't link you to a specific time on a live vid but there's a point when she references Gresham Barrett and how they "duked it out" in her run for Governor but I'm not sure whether you want to count that for this resolution. That's right around the time NBC cut out and I jumped over to Fox.

@shankypanky She definitely seemed to be making a lot of callbacks to times in the past with other south carolina politicians but I'm not sure what was specifically talking about when she was governor. And I'm not sure that referencing running for governor is the same as talking about when she was governor?

I think this resolves No unless I missed something.

@Joshua agree with you that's why I didn't go in on that one lol

bought Ṁ10 Haley says "Putin" NO

Wait shit NBC cut her off lol

bought Ṁ55 Haley mentions Barac... NO

@Joshua what the what 😫

bought Ṁ1,000 Haley says 'thank you' YES

I'm gonna wait to resolve any options until the end

reposted

Okay NOW it's starting

opened a Ṁ50 Haley drops out of t... YES at 5% order

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