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MANIFOLD
Will Hurricane Oscar cause more than $100 million in damages to Cuba?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ220
resolved Mar 12
Resolved
NO

The outcome will be determined based on official damage estimates released by credible international agencies (e.g., World Bank, UN, or insurance industry reports).

Threshold: The question resolves as “Yes” if cumulative damage estimates surpass $100 million.

Sources: Reliable data should come from at least two of the following: Cuban government reports, global insurance assessments (e.g., Munich Re, Swiss Re), or international organizations like the UN Office for Disaster Risk Reduction.

Currency Conversion: If damage is reported in Cuban pesos or any other currency, it will be converted to USD based on the exchange rate at the time the report is issued.

In the absence of clear damage assessments by the deadline, the question will resolve as “No.”

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