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Will this market close at 69%?
Basic
81
Ṁ20kresolved Jun 9
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Self-explanatory. Based on the probability displayed on Manifold (i.e., whatever whole percentage Manifold rounds it to)
Get Ṁ600 play money
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@MarcusAbramovitch Thanks! You only got 388 though. Something like 100 would be fine. I'll use it for /XComhghall/will-someone-decode-this-cryptic-im
Interesting that this one is already down to 15%, even though Adrian's market was never that low, except for a brief spike downward. Maybe people are taking into account the NO resolution of his market as an additional piece of information. Or maybe it's because this one doesn't close until 6/9, and the longer time frame will allow its liquidity to increase, making it riskier for someone to spike it to 69% last minute.