Will there be scientific consensus that a room-temperature *semi*conductor exists on September 1?
15
290Ṁ1513
resolved Aug 3
Resolved
N/A

Resolves YES if there is scientific consensus that it is possible to create a semiconductor at 20°C through a known process on September 1, 2023.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
predictedYES

Planning to resolve this N/A so that people who were mislead don't take a negative profit. Right now, I get this error when I try, though.

predictedYES

@DavidChee thanks

Unlisting as it's deceptive

predictedYES

If you bet NO before I changed the title, you can sell it and I will give you a managram equal to the loss you took.

@JosephNoonan :( i was just waking up and in the shower

predictedYES

How are NO traders placing their bets without using room-temperature semiconductors?

Isn't there already semiconductors that work on 20°C?
If so, this market is deceptive to make people think they are predicting for SCs.

@PanosFilianos bro tell me it's a typo

@PanosFilianos oh dear I totally read this wrong. This should resolve to N/A because it's already known

@PanosFilianos Yes, it's a pun, hence the meme markets tag. I wanted to see how carefully people read the question.

@JosephNoonan I don't know if this is allowed per the ToS, because of the +5 MANA bonus per user trading.

predictedYES

@PanosFilianos I don't see how the mana bonus affects whether it's allowed. People make meme markets on assured outcomes all the time.

@JosephNoonan Especially since you are trading the market, making profit off people that misread this.

predictedYES

@PanosFilianos Fair enough, I made the title clearer, and I can reimburse the losses of anyone who bet NO thinking it was superconductors.

@JosephNoonan thanks, 8 mana pls

@JosephNoonan Why not N/A-ing the market instead?

@jack To keep 5-mana trader bonuses, I think.

@JosephNoonan This is basically spam. We don’t need any more of those kinds of markets.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy