
Will the winner of the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election lose the electoral vote?
14
closes 2025
30%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ32 +225.8%
New probability
32% +2%
Resolves "yes" if the candidate with the plurality of the popular vote loses the election, either by another candidate getting the majority of electoral votes, or because the House voted for another candidate after no one got the majority of electoral votes.
Close date updated to 2025-01-20 1:00 pm
Get Ṁ500 play money
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