Will the winner of the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election lose the electoral vote?
14
closes 2025
30%
chance

Resolves "yes" if the candidate with the plurality of the popular vote loses the election, either by another candidate getting the majority of electoral votes, or because the House voted for another candidate after no one got the majority of electoral votes.

Close date updated to 2025-01-20 1:00 pm

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