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MANIFOLD
how many times will trump say china until july 30th 2026
2
Ṁ175Ṁ17
2027
14.1 times
expected
14%
0 - 4
27%
5 - 9
16%
10 - 14
14%
15 - 19
14%
20 - 25
14%
Above 25

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the total number of times Donald Trump says the word "China" in his spoken public remarks from the time of market creation (July 27, 2026) until July 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM Eastern Time.

  • Source of Truth: The primary source for verification will be Roll Call Factba.se, which maintains a comprehensive, searchable archive of Donald Trump's speeches, interviews, press conferences, and other spoken remarks.

  • Counting Method: The market will resolve based on the count of the exact word "China" (case-insensitive) appearing in transcripts of Trump's verbal statements delivered during the specified timeframe.

    • Only spoken mentions will count (written posts on Truth Social or other platforms are excluded).

    • Plural or alternate forms such as "Chinas" will count, but derivatives like "Chinese" or "Chinatown" will not, unless they contain the standalone word "China."

Market context
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