🏅 Top traders

i honestly very much think this should be even lower but i do not want to put that large a percentage of my mana in this

@April then again maybe i'm bad at probabilities this low

this one better not go the way minecraft did i would be so mad

i think 50% is way too high

@April I'm maybe something like 50% by 2025

Recent record 25:33. Sub 25 still seems very far off from my perspective. It's a mature game with well-optimized runs.

Not up to date with current route or techniques but I do know there's an any% tas that at least gets 21:43.288 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MJ3G8x-OLRs

[TAS] Celeste Any% in 21:43.288

The Celeste Any% TAS has been improved by over 16 seconds since the last encode from September 2020! Improvements were primarily made by Vamp, Marlin, sashab…

@brubsby probably not humanly possible tech then (or extremely unreliable like chap 3 demo dash). the wr is at 25 min 45 seconds, which was 9 months after this video.

@Jordinne agreed, my point was just that the TAS has a moderately healthy margin by which it beats the event this market predicts, so the market cannot be rejected on that basis.

But a more informed analysis of current routes, and WR holders' estimates of what's possible with highest level play might be particularly predictive info, I assume it's at most 30s below current WR at this point, were I to guess.

This of course, all barring new human executable routing being found.

@Jordinne wait what did you say about chap 3 demo dash

are you talking about the same chap 3 demo dash i'm thinking of

that strat is easy what