Resolution criteria

This market resolves based on which national team wins the third-place playoff match at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

• The team that wins the third-place match, scheduled for July 18, 2026, will resolve to YES.

• The other two options will resolve to NO.

• If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the match is officially played and a winner is determined.

The primary source of truth for this market is the official FIFA World Cup Website.

Background

The 2026 FIFA World Cup has reached its final stage. In the first semifinal on July 14, 2026, Spain defeated France 2-0, sending France to the third-place playoff match. The second semifinal on July 15 features England against Argentina, with the loser of that match scheduled to play France in the third-place playoff at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami on Saturday, July 18, 2026. Because the third-place match will feature France and either England or Argentina, the third-place finisher is guaranteed to be one of the three options listed in this market.