51
226
545
Nov 6
8%
chance

This market resolves to 'YES' if Andrew Yang runs for President in the 2024 general US Presidential election or in the primaries of any party.

EDIT: A write-in candidacy would count. The question will resolve when polls close on November 5, 2024.

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bought Ṁ20 of NO
I'd spitball a 10% chance if Biden runs and a 70% chance if Biden doesn't run. I think Biden is more likely to run than not, so I'll put my loan on NO.
bought Ṁ5 of NO
He just founded a lobbying firm...
bought Ṁ3 of YES
low pool but I do expect they will run
bought Ṁ2 of YES
Pretty low confidence in this trade, but

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