Conditional on Biden dropping out, will Trump be elected president?
36
91
Ṁ2.7KṀ680
Nov 7
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market attempts to determine whether Biden dropping out would result in Trump's chances improving or worsening.
This market resolves:
N/A if Biden is considered to be one of the two main presidential candidates on November 5, 2024
YES if Trump is elected President of the United States, and Biden is NOT considered one of the main candidates
NO if Trump is NOT elected President of the United States, and Biden is NOT considered one of the main candidates
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump be elected President in 2024?
95% chance
If Joe Biden is the 2024 nominee, will he win the presidential election?
51% chance
Conditional on being nominated by the Republican party, will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?
46% chance
Will Trump be the next president?
47% chance
Conditional on Donald Trump being indicted before the 2024 presidential election, will he win said election?
48% chance
If Donald Trump is the 2024 nominee, will he win the presidential election?
50% chance
Will Trump be elected in 2024?
48% chance
Will Trump outlive Biden?
60% chance
Will Democrats win the 2024 presidential election if neither Biden nor Trump are the nominees?
43% chance
Will Trump win the US Presidential election?
48% chance