Conditional on Biden dropping out, will Trump be elected president?
60
1kแน€16k
resolved Nov 7
Resolved
YES

This market attempts to determine whether Biden dropping out would result in Trump's chances improving or worsening.

This market resolves:

  • N/A if Biden is considered to be one of the two main presidential candidates on November 5, 2024

  • YES if Trump is elected President of the United States, and Biden is NOT considered one of the main candidates

  • NO if Trump is NOT elected President of the United States, and Biden is NOT considered one of the main candidates

Get
แน€1,000
to start trading!

๐Ÿ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1แน€703
2แน€337
3แน€243
4แน€240
5แน€161
Sort by:

@JonasVollmer resoolves YES

Aside from Biden being Democrats' best shot at fending off Trump, I think a last minute Biden drop out would signal Democrats really don't have their things together.

Odds are correct here but too high for Biden.

ยฉ Manifold Markets, Inc.โ€ขTerms + Mana-only Termsโ€ขPrivacyโ€ขRules