This question resolves to YES if any of the 12 labor unions* representing rail workers enact a strike or there is a lockout (in either case work stoppage for >12 hours) before end of December 2022...and resolves to NO if a new agreement is entered that precludes a strike before end of December 2022.

*American Train Dispatchers Association (ATDA), Brotherhood of Locomotive Engineers and Trainmen (BLET), Brotherhood of Maintenance of Way Employes Division of the International Brotherhood of Teamsters (BMWED), Brotherhood of Railroad Signalmen (BRS), International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers (IAMAW), International Brotherhood of Boilermakers, Iron Ship Builders, Forgers and Helpers (IBB), International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers (IBEW), National Conference of Firemen & Oilers, District of Local 32BJ, SEIU (NCFO), I nternational Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers – Railroad, Mechanical and Engineering Department (SMART-MD), International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers – Transportation Division (SMART-TD), Transportation Communications Union/IAM (TCU/IAM), and the Transport Workers Union of America (TWU).