Minnesota’s State Emblem Redesign Commission has been tasked with selecting a new state flag. They are down to six finalists:

(the light grey borders are an artifact, not part of the designs)

Their deadline to select a finalist is January 1, 2024.

This market is more focused on which design is selected rather than whether the specific deadline of January 1 is met, so if a new design is selected before February 1, 2024, it resolves based on that design, otherwise resolves “None”.

If the new design is slightly altered from one of the six designs, but it is still obvious which design was the main inspiration, it resolves to that number (for example, the curviness of the line in design 2 being changed).

EDIT

Based on “it is still obvious which design was the main inspiration”, if the commission selects any of the official 86 numbered variations, the base number of the variation is considered the main source of inspiration, and the market will resolve 100% to that option. It will only resolve fractionally if they come up with a different variation, and don’t make an official claim about which one is the main inspiration.

END EDIT

If there are major elements or design inspiration taken from multiple of the finalists, it resolves in equal fractions to all contributing designs (For example, if it was the foreground of 6 on the background of 5, it would be 50% for each).

If they propose multiple flags for multiple purposes, each flag selected for at least one purpose resolves to an equal fraction.

If the flag incorporates any major element that constitutes a substantial alteration from all finalists, it results to “Other design“, even if it includes design elements from some of the finalists (for example, any design which includes a loon (for the purpose of this statement, I am not considering any shapes in design 6 to be loons)).

EDIT 2

I’m not counting the river bank in some of the Old Wavy variations as a “major design element that constitutes a substantial alteration from all finalists“.