Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if all three favorites win their respective Christmas Day games on December 25, 2025. The three games are:

1. Cowboys vs. Commanders (Cowboys favored at -6.5)

2. Lions vs. Vikings (Lions favored at -6)

3. Broncos vs. Chiefs (Broncos favored at -13)

The market resolves YES only if the Cowboys, Lions, and Broncos all win. If any favorite loses, the market resolves NO. Check final scores on ESPN NFL Scores or NFL.com.

Background

The NFL Christmas games feature Cowboys vs Commanders at 1 p.m. ET and Lions vs Vikings at 4:30 p.m. ET, both broadcast on Netflix. The Broncos vs. Chiefs game airs in prime-time on Amazon Prime Video.

The Broncos (11-2) are the story of the 2025 season, boasting the league's No. 1 scoring defense and a surprisingly efficient offense. The Cowboys (7-6) are in "must-win" mode, sitting precariously in the NFC Wild Card race. The Lions (9-4) are fighting to reclaim the NFC North division crown after dropping two of their last three.

Considerations

Minnesota QB J.J. McCarthy may be unavailable after leaving Week 16 with a hand injury, though his X-rays came back negative. The Chiefs are already eliminated from playoff contention and Patrick Mahomes suffered a torn ACL, leaving them without their star quarterback.