Season 11 of the history podcast Revolutions by Mike Duncan is a sci-fi/speculative fiction audio drama about a revolution on Mars in the 2240s. Given his previous analysis of the structure of revolutions in his appendix episodes (see the episode "Appendix 11 - Meet The New Boss"), will the Martian Revolution end with a military dictatorship?

This market resolves YES when, to my judgement, the revolutionary period on Mars closes with power concentrated in the hands a small group of military officers (or a single military commander) who came to prominence during the revolution.

This market is arbitrarily set to close at the end of 2026 merely because it seems very unlikely that this weekly podcast will go more than 100 episodes. If the podcast season goes longer than this I will extend the deadline.