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MANIFOLD
Will Deportes Temuco win at least five of the last 15 games of the season? (Caixun Primera B)
2
Ṁ100Ṁ66
Nov 30
67%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if Deportes Temuco wins at least five of their 15 matches in the Second Wheel (Segunda Rueda) of the 2026 Liga de Ascenso Caixun (Primera B de Chile) regular season. Otherwise, the market will resolve to NO.

  • Definition of Games: The "last 15 games" refers explicitly to Matchdays 16 through 30 of the 30-game regular season. Rescheduled or postponed fixtures originally belonging to this set of 15 games will be tracked and counted when they are eventually played.

  • Eligible Competitions: Only regular season league matches in the 2026 Liga de Ascenso Caixun count. Games played in other tournaments (e.g., Copa Chile) or any post-season promotion play-offs (Liguilla de Ascenso) do not count.

  • Definition of Win: A match is considered a win if Deportes Temuco is the victorious team at the conclusion of standard regulation time (including injury/stoppage time).

  • Truncated Season Rule: If the regular season is permanently shortened and the Segunda Rueda is not completed:

    • The market resolves YES if Deportes Temuco has already achieved 5 wins in the Segunda Rueda matches played.

    • The market resolves NO if they have not achieved 5 wins and it is mathematically impossible to reach 5 wins with the remaining games.

    • The market will resolve N/A only if the season is aborted and a determination cannot be made.

Sources for Verification

Background

Deportes Temuco competes in the Liga de Ascenso Caixun, the second division of Chilean professional football. The league structure consists of a double round-robin tournament featuring 16 teams and spanning 30 matchdays.

At the conclusion of the first half of the season (Primera Rueda, Matchdays 1–15), Deportes Temuco stood in 4th place with 23 points, registering 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses. Following a winter break and Copa Chile fixtures, the second half of the season (Segunda Rueda) commenced in late July 2026. This market tracks whether the club can sustain its form and secure at least five wins in the remaining 15 matches of the league campaign.

Market context
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